The Oahu Interscholastic Association Division I football tournament enters its second week with the quarterfinal round playing out Friday and Saturday nights, but I never had the chance to revisit my preseason league predictions after the regular season came to a close, so here it is.

If you downloaded or received a hard copy of our 2015 Prep Football Preview, you'd know that I didn't fare so well on some of those picks. Of the 14 OIA D1 teams, I picked just five teams to finish with the exact record that they did. Then, there were about five teams where I was off by more than a few games — some of them way off.

Well, it's time to own up to those.

HITS:

Kahuku (preseason prediction: 7-0/Final 2015 league record: 7-0)
OK, this wasn't hard at all. The Red Raiders were clearly the most talented team in the OIA Red despite concerns at the quarterback position, a new coach in Vavae Tata and a new scheme (3-4) on defense. I hardly deserve any pats on the back for this one.

Mililani (preseason prediction: 7-0/Final 2015 league record: 7-0)
Another easy one. Like Kahuku, the Trojans were the clear-cut favorite to me not only in the OIA Blue, but in the league as a whole. The returning trio of McKenzie Milton, Vavae Malepeai and Kalakaua Timoteo made this an easy choice. Again, no need for any applause here.

Kaiser (preseason prediction: 4-3/Final 2015 league record: 4-3)
So last year I notoriously predicted the Cougars would go 0-7 in their first D1 season after a D2 state title in 2013. Well, they went 4-3 and one of those wins came against Kahuku. Boy, did I hear it from Kaiser fans after that. Well, I hit the nail on the head this year, but no e-mails? Go figure.

Farrington (preseason prediction: 5-2/Final 2015 league record: 5-2)
Entering the season, the Govs had a question mark at quarterback and an even bigger one on defense, where it lost a pair of All-Hawaii first teamers and a few would-be starters who transferred out of state. However, running back Challen Faamatau has largely shouldered the loud for them this year (and made me look smarter than I really am in the process).

McKinley (preseason prediction: 0-7/Final 2015 league record: 0-7)
I hate to even bring attention to this as it was clearly a tough first season for coach Sam Cantiberos and the Tigers. For me, it was hardly a surprise given the really low numbers on the team and consequently the lack of playmakers on the roster. I wish I had been wrong here, but hopefully this team can turn it around in 2016.

MISSES:

Leilehua (preseason prediction: 6-1/Final 2015 league record: 3-4)
Coming into the year, I thought the Mules had enough playmakers to finish second in the OIA D1 Red. One of those guys, 400-pound two-way lineman Sifa Hufanga transferred out before the season even started and another, defensive back Charles "Moku" Watson has struggled to stay healthy. The season-ending hip injury to quarterback Kaleoaloha Piceno  just two weeks into the year and the lack of any kind of a running game certainly didn't help things on offense, where Leilehua averaged just 17 points and 256 yards per game.

Waianae (preseason prediction: 4-3/Final 2015 league record: 6-1)
I thought the Seariders would finish third in the Red division, possibly even fourth behind Kaiser. Well, I clearly underestimated this offense, which averages a staggering 45 points and 348 yards per game despite running the ball probably 80 percent of the time. It's not often that a coach comes in and has success like Walter Young has had in his first varsity season, so a lot of credit has to go there. Clearly his players have bought in to his philosophy. Offensively, Waianae executes that Wing-T offense beautifully and with discipline, while the defense plays bend-but-don't-break football.

Campbell (preseason prediction: 5-2/Final 2015 league record: 1-6)
Yikes. I thought the Sabers were good enough to finish second in the Blue. Well, they finished second all right — from the bottom, that is. Line play on both sides of the ball — one thing that you don't really get a great grasp of by watching practices and to an extent, scrimmages — proved to be a problem for Campbell this year. Running back Terrell Johnson has underperformed, the defense struggled with a new scheme and coordinator in Ulima Afoa and quarterback Siaosi Soto never really showed the potential he displayed over the summer. Throughout all of it, veteran coach Amosa Amosa and his players have remained positive — something easier said than done for a program that has achieved the level of success recently that the Sabers have.

Kailua (preseason prediction: 1-6/Final 2015 league record: 5-2)
This is the most glaring blunder I made. Even after seeing the Surfriders go toe-to-toe with Saint Louis in a scrimmage back in late July, I wasn't really convinced for a couple of reasons: 1) The low numbers. About 35 to 40 players were all I counted at that time and that's something that hasn't changed. Despite the small roster, Kailua has gotten it done with many two-way players all season along. 2) Noah Auld. When I saw Auld against the Crusaders, I thought he was the same player he had been in the previous two years: a game manager, but not a game changer. He's proven that he's much more than a manager this year with 1,908 passing yards and an incredible TD-to-INT ratio of 27 to 3. What a great story this team has been this year.

Castle (preseason prediction: 1-6/Final 2015 league record: 3-4)
I thought the Knights would finish sixth in the Red this year and I wasn't far off. They ended up fifth, but did manage two more wins than I expected. If you had told me back in late July/early August that Castle would beat Campbell in week 2, I would have laughed in your face and called you crazy. Well, go ahead and laugh in my face and call me crazy now because it happened. I recall seeing Castle and Roosevelt in a pass league game and jotting down a few notes about the Knights then: low in numbers, lack of big bodies, lack of playmakers. The first two are true, I think even coach Nelson Maeda would agree, but the emergence of wide receiver Jeremy McGoldrick and the play of quarterback Willie Ewaliko disproved my third note. This is another team that overachieved in my book.

So there you have it. I make no excuses for the misses and nor do I seek any credit for the hits (it's my job after all), but I thought it'd be a fun blog to revisit those preseason picks. I'll try and do better next year.

For good measure, here's the rest of the Division I predictions I made statewide and the current records:

BIIF (regular season completed)
Hilo (preseason prediction: 7-0/2015 league record: 5-2)
Kealakehe (preseason prediction: 5-2/2015 league record: 6-1)
Waiakea (preseason prediction: 3-4/2015 league record: 2-5)
Keaau (preseason prediction: 0-8/2015 league record: 0-8)

ILH (one week remaining in regular season)
Saint Louis (preseason prediction: 6-0/2015 league record: 4-1)
Punahou (preseason prediction: 4-2/2015 league record: 5-0)
Kamehameha (preseason prediction: 2-4/2015 league record: 1-4)
Iolani (preseason prediction: 0-6/2015 league record: 0-5)

MIL (two weeks remaining in regular season)
Baldwin (preseason prediction: 7-1/2015 league record: 5-1)
Maui (preseason prediction: 4-4/2015 league record: 5-1)